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The probability of stagflation in the U.S. economy is a topic of ongoing discussion and depends on various evolving economic factors. As of late April 2025, several sources suggest that while the risk has increased, it is not yet the most likely scenario. Understanding Probability in Economics: In economics, especially when discussing future events like stagflation, "probability" isn't a precise mathematical calculation like the probability of rolling a specific number on a die. Instead, it represents an assessment of the likelihood of a particular economic scenario occurring based on current data, trends, and economic models. These assessments are often qualitative, influenced by expert opinions and various economic indicators. Current Assessment of Stagflation Probability in the U.S. Economy: Increased Risk: Several reports from late March and early April 2025 indicate a heightened concern about stagflation due to factors like persistent inflation, slowing economic growth forecasts, and uncertainties related to potential tariffs.   Not Imminent: Despite the increased concern, most analyses suggest that stagflation is not yet an imminent threat. Economic data preceding potential tariff implementations doesn't strongly indicate stagflationary conditions.   Low Historical Occurrence: Historically, true stagflation has been a rare event in the U.S. economy.   Factors Mitigating Risk: The U.S. benefits from structural productivity advantages, higher energy independence compared to the 1970s, and a globalized workforce, which are seen as factors that could lessen the probability of entrenched stagflation.   Numerical Estimates: One report from early April 2025 mentioned placing a 1 in 5 (20%) probability of a serious stagflation scare in 2025, noting that this probability might have increased slightly due to tariff policy uncertainties. Another report from June 2024 had a baseline forecast of 14% for stagflation by the end of 2024, which could increase to 23% under certain conditions like a significant oil price shock. What is Stagflation? Stagflation is an economic condition characterized by three key features occurring simultaneously: Stagnant Economic Growth: The economy is growing very slowly or even contracting, leading to low productivity and potentially a decrease in overall output. High Unemployment: As the economy stagnates, businesses may reduce hiring or lay off workers, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate.   Persistent High Inflation: Despite the slow economic growth and high unemployment, the prices of goods and services continue to rise. This combination is particularly problematic because the typical economic tools used to combat inflation (like raising interest rates) can worsen economic stagnation and unemployment, while measures to boost growth and reduce unemployment (like lowering interest rates or increasing government spending) can exacerbate inflation. Economic Indicators to Watch for Stagflation: Economists monitor several indicators to assess the risk of stagflation: GDP Growth: A significant and sustained slowdown in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a key indicator of economic stagnation. Unemployment Rate: A rising unemployment rate signals a weakening labor market.   Inflation Rate: Persistently high inflation, often measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, is a crucial component of stagflation.   Manufacturing and Industrial Production: Declining output in these sectors can indicate economic stagnation. Consumer Spending: Weak consumer spending can be both a cause and a consequence of a stagnating economy.   Supply Shocks: Events like significant increases in energy prices or disruptions in supply chains can contribute to both inflation and slower growth.   Tariff Policies: As highlighted in recent reports, the implementation of significant tariffs can act as a supply shock, increasing costs for businesses and potentially leading to higher prices and reduced economic activity. Consumer and Business Confidence: Declining confidence can lead to reduced spending and investment, contributing to slower growth.   In conclusion, while the probability of stagflation in the U.S. economy has been a growing concern in early 2025 due to various factors, it is not yet considered a highly probable event by most analyses. Economists are closely monitoring key economic indicators and policy decisions to assess the evolving risks. The situation remains fluid and subject to change based on future economic data and policy developments. disclaimer : don't agree with me do your investment at your own research and risk.

The resolution of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple ended long-standing judicial doubts, and it ignited speculation about an IPO and what that would mean to XRP. A recent All Things XRP tweet summarized the excitement in blunt terms: “IF RIPPLE IPOs, HERE’S WHAT COULD HAPPEN TO XRP (And It’s Not What You Think)… XRP doesn’t just go up… it graduates.” If Ripple were to officially list on a big exchange, it would be a goal for the company, but also for the entire crypto market. “Wall Street loves clarity. An IPO means Ripple opens the books, full transparency, full legitimacy,” All Things XRP noted, and that sentiment resonates with analysts. Going public would subject Ripple to quarterly earnings reports and tight corporate governance. For institutions and traditional investors, this kind of transparency would flip the script on XRP’s image, from a speculative token to a real, regulated financial product. Crypto traders survive on momentum, and an IPO by Ripple could be the trigger. The IPO could act as a catalyst, attracting speculative buying and also decreasing the risk appetite among institutional investors. Analysts believe that with an IPO, XRP can touch $8, given increased exposure and investor confidence. Others expect XRP to touch $10 in 2030 based on regulatory clarity and the take-up of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin. All Things XRP summed the sentiment best: “Price? Buckle up.” IPO capital infusion would allow Ripple to make the XRP Ledger stronger, to innovate new blockchain applications, and to forge partnerships with institutions. For instance, recently, Ripple pulled off a power move by acquiring Hidden Road, one of the leading prime brokerage companies, for $1.25 billion. As highlighted in our previous blog post , Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse addressed wild speculation regarding the company’s IPO plans. Setting the record straight, he confirmed that Ripple has no intention of going public soon. According to Garlinghouse, the firm is currently in the mode of building and not borrowing, focusing its efforts on acquisitions, and looking for M&A opportunities. Meanwhile, the XRP ecosystem as a whole has been buzzing with activity. Just last week, Teucrium made the headlines with the launch of its 2x XRP Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) that had over $5 million in trading volume on the debut day. Asset managers, including Bitwise, 21Shares, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton, have all filed for the XRP ETF, bringing the total to 18 proposals awaiting approval by the SEC. In the markets, XRP recently broke through a key resistance level to trade above $2.02, with a 3% gain on the weekly chart. However, at the time of writing, the price had suffered a slight reversal of 1.10% in the last 24 hours. Its trading volume also dropped by 20.81%, settling at approximately $2.36 billion.

In 2025, two industries are exploding: Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Cryptocurrency. But here’s what most people don’t realize — when you combine AI and crypto, you get one of the biggest money-making trends of this decade. Smart investors are now backing AI-powered crypto projects early, and many believe this space could grow into a $10 trillion market. 1. Why AI + Crypto is Exploding AI automates and optimizes everything in crypto: trading, security, DeFi, NFTs. Decentralized AI means no big tech control — perfect for Web3. Investors are pouring billions into this combo in 2025. 2. Top AI + Crypto Projects to Watch Here are some trending tokens that mix AI and blockchain perfectly: $FET (Fetch.ai) – Building an AI-powered economy $AGIX (SingularityNET) – Decentralized AI marketplace $RNDR (Render) – GPU power for AI & 3D computing $NUM (Numbers Protocol) – AI for media authenticity $NMR (Numeraire) – Hedge fund powered by AI predictions These tokens are not just hype — they’re building real-world use cases. 3. What This Means for You Early investors in AI + Crypto are already seeing 10x+ returns. AI helps you trade smarter, earn passively, and spot trends earlier. Even tools like Bitget Insight are adding AI features for better analysis. 4. How to Position Yourself Early Follow AI-related token launches on Launchpads like Bitget or Binance Watch AI sector news, especially from OpenAI, Google, and Nvidia Use tools like CryptoGPT, Token Metrics, Bitget Insight for smarter moves Final Words: AI isn’t here to replace you. It’s here to amplify your earning power in crypto. This trend is still early—and the people who act now will be the ones everyone talks about in 2026.

The digital landscape, once brimming with the promise of financial empowerment, has once again been tainted by the bitter reality of fraud. Nigerians, eager to tap into the burgeoning world of cryptocurrency, have become the latest victims of a sophisticated Ponzi scheme operating under the guise of CBEX (Crypto Bridge Exchange). The collapse of this platform has sent shockwaves across the nation, leaving a trail of shattered dreams and empty wallets, and raising critical questions about regulation and investor protection.   For months, CBEX lured unsuspecting individuals with the siren call of unbelievable returns – a staggering 100% monthly profit, supposedly generated by an AI-powered trading system. This enticing proposition, coupled with aggressive recruitment tactics and referral bonuses, proved irresistible to many seeking quick financial gains. Testimonials flooded social media, painting a rosy picture of effortless wealth accumulation, further fueling the influx of new investors.   However, the façade crumbled abruptly in mid-April 2025. Withdrawals ground to a halt, and the promised payouts vanished into thin air. In a cruel twist, CBEX administrators reportedly demanded further deposits from users, ranging from $100 to $200, as a prerequisite to unlocking their existing funds – a desperate and transparent maneuver characteristic of collapsing pyramid schemes.   The scale of the losses is staggering. While concrete figures are still emerging, estimates suggest that Nigerians have collectively lost hundreds of billions, potentially even exceeding a staggering ₦1.3 trillion. The impact on individual lives is devastating, with reports of life savings wiped out and futures jeopardized.   The Nigerian authorities have responded with a sense of urgency. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) swiftly reiterated its earlier warnings that CBEX was never registered to operate as a digital asset exchange within the country. This highlights a crucial gap in investor awareness and the persistent challenge of unregulated online investment platforms.   The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has launched a full-scale investigation, recognizing the severity of the alleged fraud. Collaborating with INTERPOL, they are now on the hunt for the perpetrators, believed to be part of a larger international criminal network with roots in Southeast Asia. The involvement of global law enforcement underscores the transnational nature of such scams in the digital age.   The House of Representatives has also weighed in, expressing deep concern over the situation and demanding swift action from security agencies to apprehend the culprits and recover the stolen funds. Their emphasis on the Investment and Securities Act (ISA) 2025, which criminalizes Ponzi schemes with stricter penalties, signals a potential move towards stronger legal frameworks to combat such fraudulent activities.   This unfortunate episode serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with unregulated digital investment platforms and the critical importance of due diligence. The allure of quick riches often blinds individuals to the red flags that are characteristic of Ponzi schemes: unrealistic returns, pressure to recruit new members, and a lack of transparency regarding the underlying investment strategy.   Furthermore, the deliberate use of the acronym "CBEX" by the fraudulent entity to mimic the well-established China Beijing Equity Exchange underscores the deceptive tactics employed by these scammers. The legitimate Chinese exchange has vehemently denied any association with the crypto scheme, highlighting the importance of verifying the credentials and legitimacy of any investment platform.   Moving forward, this crisis necessitates a multi-pronged approach. Increased public awareness campaigns and enhanced financial literacy education are crucial to equip citizens with the knowledge to identify and avoid such scams. Public figures and influencers must also exercise greater responsibility in promoting investment opportunities, ensuring they endorse only verified and regulated platforms. The CBEX saga is a painful lesson for Nigeria's burgeoning digital investment community. It underscores the urgent need for stronger regulatory oversight in the cryptocurrency space and a collective effort to protect vulnerable investors from the predatory tactics of fraudulent schemes. As investigations continue and the true extent of the damage unfolds, the hope remains that justice will be served and that this unfortunate incident will pave the way for a more secure and transparent digital investment landscape in Nigeria.

Austin TX sheds 40% - expect pre COVID +10% nationwide - young people your chance to get a home is coming - keep your head down and be prepared to act. The correction will begin this Summer.