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Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook🎉 Bullish Signals: ✅ Price is near the lower Bollinger Band, meaning a rebound is possible. ✅ If the price breaks above $0.005229, a bullish move could start. ✅ Increasing volume on green candles could confirm buying interest. Bearish Signals:🔥 ❌ The price is in a strong downtrend, showing continued selling pressure. ❌ If the price falls below $0.004961, more downside is expected. ❌ The moving averages are still close, meaning no clear bullish crossover yet. Conclusion $BANANAS31 /USDT is currently in a bearish phase, but it is approaching key support levels. If buyers step in and push the price above $0.005229, a bullish reversal could occur. However, if the price drops below $0.004961, further downside is likely. Traders should watch for volume spikes and moving average crossovers before making a decision.

Bitcoin is entering April on uncertain ground. It is caught between waning bearish momentum and increasing uncertainty ahead of the highly anticipated “Liberation Day” tariff announcement on Wednesday. Technical indicators such as the DMI, Ichimoku Cloud, and EMA lines are sending mixed signals, with early signs of buyer power emerging. The market continues to be limited to both downside tests and breakout rallies depending on macro developments. With today’s JOLTS report and tariff clarification awaited, Bitcoin’s next big move could be around the corner. BTC DMI Shows Buyers Taking Control, But Will It Last? Bitcoin’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) is showing potential signs of a change in momentum. The Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures the strength of a trend regardless of direction, has fallen from 40.38 yesterday to 28.59 today. This suggests that the current downtrend is losing momentum. Typically, an ADX reading above 25 indicates a strong trend, while readings below this value indicate a weakening or sideways market. While 28.59 still shows moderate trend strength, a drop suggests that momentum is waning. Meanwhile, the +DI (positive direction indicator) rose from 9.35 to 23.75, while the -DI (negative direction indicator) fell from 34.58 to 17.88—suggesting that bullish pressure is building. This intersection between +DI and -DI could signal an early trend reversal, especially if confirmed by further price action and volume. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin is currently in a broader downtrend. Market participants are also closely monitoring the JOLTS report due today, a key indicator of US job openings. A stronger-than-expected report could boost the dollar and put pressure on cryptocurrency markets. On the other hand, weak data could boost interest rate cut expectations and potentially support Bitcoin and other risky assets. As trend indicators shift and macroeconomic data comes into play, Bitcoin’s next move could be heavily influenced by external factors. Recently, Larry Fink suggested that Bitcoin could replace the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Bitcoin Ichimoku Cloud: Downtrend Still Underway Bitcoin’s Ichimoku Cloud chart shows that the market is still under downward pressure despite signs of a near-term recovery. The price is currently testing the Kijun-sen (red line), a key resistance level. While the Tenkan-sen (blue line) is starting to flatten and curve upward—usually a sign of a change in momentum—the price is staying below the Kumo (cloud) and the broader trend is still bearish. The cloud ahead is red and bearish, suggesting continued downward pressure in the near term. However, the price briefly pushed back towards the lower boundary of the cloud, suggesting a potential challenge to the bearish structure. For a stronger trend reversal signal, Bitcoin would need to break above the cloud and form a bullish Kumo reversal. Until then, the Ichimoku setup is showing a cautious recovery at best. Independence Day Could Affect Bitcoin Price Bitcoin’s EMA lines remain in a downtrend. Its short-term averages are still below its long-term averages, suggesting continued downside momentum. This setup suggests that sellers continue to control the trend and unless it reverses, Bitcoin price could revisit key support areas. If the current downtrend accelerates, it could first test support around $81,169. If that level fails to hold, deeper declines to $79,069 or even $76,643 could follow. The increasing uncertainty in the market ahead of the “Independence Day” tariffs has Bitcoin equally positioned for a sharp move in either direction. It could fall to $73,000 or rise to $88,000: ‘As Independence Day approaches, uncertainty around the magnitude of tariffs is keeping Bitcoin and other risk assets in limbo. (…) This range-bound pattern will continue until there is more clarity on tariffs, but if we get softer news than expected or some kind of concession, we could see a breakout from the current trading pattern. If so, the level to watch in the short term is $88,000, but that would require a significant increase in volume to indicate an extended rally.’ It is argued that a tariff shock could cause BTC to test $73,000: “If there is a tariff shock, conversely, we could see BTC break toward $79,000 in the short term, or even fall further to the next support level of $73,000 if excessive fear grips the markets,” analysts say. Still, if Bitcoin manages to reverse the trend and gain some upward momentum, a rally to the $85,103 resistance would be the first target. A break above this level could open the way to higher levels such as $87,489 and $88,855.

Crypto asset manager Grayscale Investments filed a Form S-3 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on March 31 to register and list shares of its Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund on the NYSE Arca under the symbol GDLC. The move would convert the fund into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) and expand public trading access to a diversified digital asset fund composed of major cryptocurrencies. Grayscale shared on social media platform X: Today, we filed a registration statement on Form S-3 to register shares of Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (ticker: GDLC) under the Securities Act of 1933. This is another important step toward uplisting GDLC as an ETP. GDLC holds the top 5 crypto assets by market cap. However, the launch remains dependent on SEC approval of a separate 19b-4 application submitted by NYSE Arca in October 2024. “The Fund will not seek effectiveness of this registration statement and no offering of shares hereunder will take place unless and until such approval is obtained,” Grayscale affirmed. The fund’s holdings are determined by the Coindesk Large Cap Select Index (DLCS), which selects the top digital assets by market capitalization that meet specific criteria, such as availability on Coinbase Custody and exclusion of stablecoins and meme coins. As of March 31, the fund holds five assets: bitcoin ( BTC), ethereum ( ETH), XRP, solana ( SOL), and cardano ( ADA). As of writing, the portfolio composition by weight includes: bitcoin at 79.40%, ethereum at 10.69%, XRP at 5.85%, solana at 2.92%, and cardano at 1.14%. “The fund’s investment objective is for the value of the shares (based on NAV per share) to reflect the value of the digital assets held by the fund … plus any cash held by the fund and reduced by the fund’s expenses and other liabilities,” Grayscale explained. Currently, only cash-based creation and redemption of shares are available, and no staking of the fund’s assets is permitted. Grayscale also addressed the significant historical trading discounts on OTCQX, where the fund’s shares have frequently traded below net asset value (NAV). From July 1, 2022, to Dec. 31, 2024, the maximum observed discount was 63%, with an average of 40%. That discount narrowed to 12% by year-end 2024 and stood at 10% as of March 18. The firm believes that exchange listing and a redemption program could align share price with NAV. The filing detailed: Upon listing on NYSE Arca, the manager expects the market price of the shares and the NAV per share to converge. The fund uses Coinbase Custody Trust Company as custodian, The Bank of New York Mellon as administrator and transfer agent, and operates under Cayman Islands regulations. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

A major shake-up to the global financial order could be looming, according to Nigel Green, CEO of financial advisory firm Devere Group, who raised red flags Monday following President Donald Trump’s announcement of universal tariffs. He argued the move could damage the U.S. dollar’s role as the world’s primary safe-haven currency. “The sweeping, universal tariffs on all U.S. imports, unveiled in a defiant announcement from the White House, marks a sharp escalation in global trade tensions and a radical departure from decades of open-market policy,” the executive cautioned. “The dollar may spike in the short term, as investors react to the shock by retreating into what they think is safety.” However, he warned: But the nature of this ballooning crisis is different. The threat is coming from inside the U.S., and the dollar’s safe-haven status might not hold under sustained inflation, weakening real yields, and growing distrust in American economic leadership. He further explained that the inflationary pressures stemming from tariff-induced cost increases could weaken the U.S. economic outlook: “Trump is also aggressively lobbying for interest rate cuts. So, we’re looking at a weaker growth outlook combined with rising prices and political pressure on the Fed to stay dovish. That’s a textbook setup for dollar weakness over the medium term.” Green also emphasized that trust—not just economic size—sustains the dollar’s global dominance, which “Blanket tariffs attack that foundation directly.” He pointed out that if global partners begin to view the U.S. as hostile or opportunistic, the financial consequences could be dire. Noting that visible cracks have already formed in the system, he predicted: We could be witnessing the early stages of global moves away from the dollar as the ultimate safe-haven currency. The Devere CEO cited ongoing diversification efforts by central banks abroad: “Central banks in China, Russia, and parts of the Middle East have been gradually reducing their reliance on U.S. Treasuries.” He also pointed to rising interest in alternatives: “The rise of digital currencies and bilateral trade agreements in non-dollar denominations further suggest a slow but real shift in the global monetary order.” Looking ahead, Green warned that backlash from global trading partners could worsen the situation: If real yields fall, trust erodes, and America is seen as the source—not the shield—of global instability, we believe the dollar could begin to lose its unique safe-haven advantage. He urged investors to rethink their portfolio strategies: “Investors must position accordingly. Holding only USD-based assets or assuming the dollar will always outperform in a crisis is no longer a viable strategy.” Green concluded with a stark forecast: “Tariffs will bite. Inflation will rise. And if the rest of the world sees the U.S. abusing its monetary power and abandoning open trade principles, the shift away from the dollar will accelerate. This could be an historical turning point for the U.S. currency.” 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。