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On the daily chart, bitcoin is emerging from a descending trajectory that began near the $99,508 mark, bottoming around $76,680 before transitioning into a lateral consolidation phase with slight upward momentum. Candlestick structures exhibit reduced body size, reflecting market indecision or early accumulation behavior. Price currently hovers just above key support near $83,000, with stronger foundational support seen at $76,700. Resistance is identified between $88,000 and $89,000, and if a bullish daily candle closes above $86,000 with corresponding volume, a swing entry targeting $89,000 or more may materialize. Traders should remain alert for signs of rejection near the upper resistance area to manage exit timing. BTC/USD 1D chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025. From a four-hour chart perspective, bitcoin has shown a gradual recovery from the $81,138 level up to $87,470 before entering a corrective phase. Despite the pullback, the asset has formed higher lows, indicative of ongoing bullish pressure. Resistance remains firmly planted at $87,470, while support has developed around $83,500. A breakout above this resistance with sustained volume could open the door for a short-term climb toward $88,500 or higher. Conversely, failure to clear resistance amid rising selling pressure would increase the likelihood of a retracement to the $83,500 region. BTC/USD 4H chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025. Short-term price action on the one-hour chart suggests bitcoin is forming a clean upward channel, with momentum supported by increasing buy-side volume. The price has lifted from $83,682 to a session high of $85,233, and maintaining a position above $85,000 is key to sustaining bullish sentiment. An intraday retest and reclaim of $85,233 would likely trigger momentum toward $86,000 to $86,500 in the short term. A breakdown below $84,000 on increasing sell volume would undermine bullish setups and trigger stop-losses among aggressive long positions. BTC/USD 1H chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025. Oscillator signals paint a mixed technical picture across the board. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 48, stochastic at 71, and the commodity channel index (CCI) at 13, all reflecting neutral momentum. The average directional index (ADX) at 32 suggests a trend is present but lacks strong conviction. The awesome oscillator is currently at −2,622 and also neutral. However, both the momentum indicator at 4,154 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at −1,680 are flashing bullish signals, supporting a modestly bullish bias. Moving averages (MAs) are currently sending divergent signals depending on the timeframe. The exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) for 10 and 20 periods all suggest positive factors, ranging between $84,178 and $85,228. Mid-range signals, including the 30-period EMA and SMA, turn bearish, with values near $86,060 to $86,671. Longer-term moving averages — including 50, 100, and 200-period indicators — skew bearish, except for the 200-period simple moving average (SMA), which stands at $84,893 and still supports the price. This layered outlook indicates that while immediate momentum is upward, the broader market structure is still unwinding from prior highs. Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing high to local lows across the one-hour, four-hour, and daily timeframes reinforce this technical complexity. Price reactions are likely around the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels, offering opportunities for tactical entries during pullbacks. Stop-losses should be placed beneath the 78.6% or 100% retracement thresholds to manage downside risk. For traders eyeing profit-taking strategies, reversals are likely near the 0% and 23.6% zones, aligned with near-term resistance bands observed on all timeframes. If bitcoin maintains support above $85,000 and secures a decisive hourly or four-hour close above $85,233—particularly with volume acceleration—a retest of $86,500 to $88,500 becomes highly probable. The presence of bullish signals on the momentum indicator and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), coupled with bullish structure on shorter timeframes and strengthening exponential moving averages (EMAs), supports a continuation toward the upper resistance at $89,000. The bullish case strengthens if the daily chart confirms a close above $86,000. Should bitcoin fail to hold the $84,000 support level, especially under rising sell volume, the upward momentum would be invalidated and the price could revert to testing lower support zones around $83,000 and potentially $81,138. The majority of long-term exponential and simple moving averages (including the 50, 100, and 200-period levels) are still aligned in sell territory, indicating that macro bearish pressure persists. Neutral oscillators further emphasize that bitcoin remains vulnerable to downside risk if volume fails to accompany any breakout attempts. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

The Federal Reserve held rates steady and reduced its Treasury redemption cap. Gold surged to a historic $3,038 per ounce amid geopolitical tensions and uncertainty. In crypto, XRP increased to $2.59 after the SEC dropped its lawsuit against Ripple. Tim Draper doubled down on his belief that Bitcoin will eventually replace fiat currencies. Finally, some U.S. lawmakers urged Trump to distance himself from crypto. The U.S. central bank opted to hold the federal funds rate steady within the range of 4.25% to 4.50%, emphasizing that… read more. Editor’s comment: The move in the redemption cap looks like the Fed is signaling the end of quantitative tightening might be near. Gold soared to an unprecedented zenith, breaching the $3,038-per-ounce threshold in spot trading—a historic pinnacle… read more. Editor’s comment: What happens to gold if geopolitical tensions ease, or tariff wars resolve, or the U.S. gets its spending under control? The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially dropped its lawsuit against Ripple today, fueling… read more. Editor’s comment: Like I said last week, once XRP’s SEC lawsuit is cleared up, the chances of an ETF improve. Polymarket agrees, chance odds of it happening in 2025 jumped roughly 10% following the announcement. Tim Draper envisions a future where bitcoin dominates, fiat crumbles, and people scramble to convert dollars before… read more. Editor’s comment: In the short term I don’t think Bitcoin will replace the U.S. dollar, however over the long term all reserve currencies have eventually been replaced. Several U.S. lawmakers have warned that President Trump’s crypto dealings and Elon Musk’s unchecked power… read more. Editor’s comment: This shows that crypto is unfortunately still a partisan issue. Hopefully in the next four years, crypto companies in America can make their case to the American public as a useful industry for everyone. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

The U.S. District Court of the Western District of Virginia announced on March 21 that a fraudulent scheme involving counterfeit arrest warrants is circulating in the region. The scam, which targets individuals under the guise of missed jury duty, uses forged documents that resemble official U.S. District Court forms and falsely claim to originate from the Eastern District of Virginia. The court’s statement described how the perpetrators instruct targets to send money using methods that are difficult to trace or reverse. As outlined by officials: The scammers demand payment by bitcoin, gift cards, or bank account information to resolve the issue. “Please be advised that the United States district courts do not issue arrest warrants for failing to appear for jury duty unless you actually have been summoned for jury duty and fail to appear,” the court noted. This scam appears to prey on individuals’ fear of legal consequences by presenting forged documents and demanding immediate payment under threat of arrest. Court officials urged anyone receiving suspicious documents—especially those referencing bitcoin, gift cards, or phone-based payments—to contact the Western District of Virginia directly to verify authenticity. The court warned: If you receive an arrest warrant or other document purportedly from the United States district courts that demands money, particularly bitcoin and gift cards with payment by phone, please contact the United States District Court for the Western District of Virginia to confirm its legitimacy. With similar scams on the rise nationwide, authorities continue to caution the public against sharing financial information in response to unsolicited legal threats. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

According to Zhang Ming, deputy director of the Institute of Finance and Economics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins, not bitcoin ( BTC) or ethereum ( ETH), are likely to have a “significant impact” on the international financial system. Ming cites stablecoins’ “link” to the U.S. dollar, a sovereign currency, which he said gives these digital assets the characteristics of the greenback. In a recently published op-ed, Ming, who also serves as the deputy director of the National Finance and Development Laboratory, asserts this U.S. dollar link is further extending the greenback’s hegemony. To illustrate, Ming points to the use of stablecoins as a store of value by residents and businesses in countries battered by inflation. The deputy director also cited the use of U.S. dollar stablecoins to provide liquidity support in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem as another example of these digital currencies playing a role in strengthening the international currency status of the U.S. dollar. Observers believe the likely passage of stablecoin bills by the U.S. Congress will further enhance their role in bolstering the U.S. dollar As has been reported by several media outlets, including Bitcoin.com News, some U.S. lawmakers are seeking to pass legislation that would compel stablecoin issuers to back stablecoins with U.S. Treasuries only. Some opponents of this move insist the passage of such legislation would be detrimental to Tether, the issuer of the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, USDT, or tether. Other critics, however, believe the enactment of laws compelling stablecoin issuers to hold U.S. Treasuries ensures the dollar hegemony is maintained. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino has repeatedly said that his company, which holds billions of dollars in U.S. debt, is already playing its part in furthering this goal. However, Ming believes China can counter attempts to extend the dollar into the digital currency realm by issuing its own stable currency. He also suggested expanding the use of the digital yuan on Chinese internet platforms to increase the renminbi’s (RMB) international currency status. Meanwhile, Ming said China should encourage the trial and promotion of digital special drawing rights (e-SDR) at the level of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Implementing an e-SDR could upend attempts to make the U.S. dollar the most important currency in the digital currency ecosystem. “The flourishing of various digital currencies is naturally better than the U.S. dollar monopolizing the development track of digital currencies. e-SDR can expand the use of supranational reserve currencies in the digital field and virtual space, and also help promote the diversification of the international monetary system,” Ming said. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

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