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Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holders (STHs) face their biggest paper losses since past bear markets due to recent price drops. Glassnode data shows these holders are down ~$30,000 for every 1% Bitcoin falls – echoing historical market bottoms and capitulation events, which goes on to show that many recent Bitcoin buyers are underwater. Historically, this situation often triggers panic selling and sharp market swings, making traders question if this is a deep correction or the start of a reversal. Long-Term Holders (LTHs), holding Bitcoin over 155 days, generally remain profitable with minimal paper losses now. But risk is brewing: investors who bought near previous highs are becoming LTHs. If Bitcoin’s price keeps falling, these newer, high-cost-basis LTHs could face major losses. Historically, this group feeling significant pain often signaled deeper bear market trouble and instability ahead. The current pressure on STHs suggests selling could intensify soon. History shows these periods bring more volatility, but can also mark market bottoms. Overall market sentiment does remain weak, however. While not confirming a bear market, the data shows stress on newer investors. Negative macro factors, regulations, or slower ETF inflows could push BTC prices lower. Yet, history shows recovery from such phases remains possible. Past cycles (2015, ’18, ’22) also show LTHs often took big hits after retail panicked and sold off completely. That key pattern raises the chance of a delayed second downturn, especially if the economy struggles or overall market mood stays sour. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

While markets struggle to catch their breath, a silent accumulation of bitcoin by the largest holders, the famous “whales”, is reshuffling the cards. By absorbing much more than the newly issued supply, these players are altering the market balance. This discreet but massive movement is reigniting speculation: is this the beginning of a new bullish rally, or just a strategic repositioning out of sight? The latest figures released by the blockchain analysis platform Glassnode show a spectacular change in the behavior of large addresses. Over the past 30 days, “whales” and “sharks” have absorbed the equivalent of more than 300% of the newly issued bitcoin supply during the same period. “The supply held by whales and sharks continues to increase rapidly”, note Glassnode analysts. In other words, for every mined bitcoin, these entities remove three from the market, drastically limiting available liquidity. This accumulation dynamic is accompanied by complementary signals revealing a global transformation of market structure: This shift of BTC towards private reserves is often interpreted as a signal of confidence in the asset’s future valuation. Large holders are thus consolidating their position in a context perceived as conducive to appreciation. While major holders strengthen their long-term strategy, technical indicators deliver a potentially aligned message. Bitcoin has broken through a chart pattern known as a “descending wedge”. This type of configuration is classically interpreted as a bullish signal in technical analysis. Such a breakout could “push the BTC price to a target of $101,570 by May”, if momentum holds. Unlike on-chain data, here graphical elements support a dynamic outlook. The breakout was confirmed by a series of candles with increasing volumes, which reinforced the credibility of this scenario. This setup coincides with a consolidated support zone around $60,000, reinforcing the idea of a firm base for a new impulse. Crossing this threshold could open the way to major resistance levels, as well as a return of mass speculation, observed during previous bull runs. As signals converge, the crypto ecosystem prepares for a potential market reconfiguration. The combination of a massive liquidity withdrawal, a visible accumulation strategy by large entities , and a confirmed technical signal fuels the hypothesis of an upcoming bullish wave. The question remains whether this dynamic will be sustained or if it will face macroeconomic resistance. Meanwhile, the whales seem to have already taken position.

Every Sunday at 1PM EST i’ll be posting an educational YT video. What would you like tomorrow’s topic to be on? - A QT Model - QT Concept - QT Framework Any other ideas, let me know in the comments below. 👇

Telegram founder Pavel Durov pushed back against a media narrative on Thursday, criticizing a French report that claimed his detention last summer led to Telegram’s compliance with European Union laws. In a statement shared on social media platform X, Durov argued that the messaging platform has always adhered to legal obligations within the European Union and took issue with the assertion that any regulatory changes came as a result of his time in custody. Emphasizing that the report misrepresented the facts and unfairly shifted blame, he said: Telegram has always been compliant with EU laws. Durov also contended that it was actually French law enforcement that only recently began following the proper procedures outlined by the EU’s Digital Services Act (DSA). “After last August, it was the French police that finally started to ‘comply with European rules’ — by sending their requests to Telegram in the legal way described by the EU’s Digital Services Act,” he explained. As a result of this procedural shift, he added, French courts have successfully accessed user information from Telegram to assist criminal investigations. The Telegram founder clarified that this official method of contacting Telegram had been publicly accessible long before his detention, stating: “The information about this legal way to reach us could be obtained on our apps, website or just by googling ‘telegram eu police’ — long before my detainment in France.” While expressing continued respect for France and its police institutions, Durov said he felt compelled to correct public misconceptions. The Telegram founder stressed: I love France and respect its police force, so I didn’t want to embarrass anyone by pointing out the above. But I cannot ignore when such obvious misinformation about Telegram is spread. His arrest in France in August 2024 had drawn global attention. He was taken into custody on charges including complicity in child exploitation and drug trafficking, stemming from allegations that Telegram had failed to adequately moderate illegal content. Although released under judicial supervision with a travel ban, a judge later granted temporary travel permission. The case has fueled ongoing international debate about the responsibilities of tech platforms. Durov reiterated the app’s proactive regulatory stance: “Telegram is the 2nd most popular messaging app in the world. We spend millions of dollars every year to ensure our compliance with laws across the globe. In the EU in particular, we always start preparing to comply with laws years before they even come into force.” 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

mainachad Price Action Discord - sneak peek #3 Mentorship - As a member, you will be able to book a one-on-one sessions with me. Each member can book a one-hour session where we will talk in private message and you can ask me anything, whether it is about education, charts, analysis, mindset, risk management, or any other trading related topic. - I will be offering these sessions two or three times per week, one session per day, totaling 8 or 12 hours per month. Every Sunday, I will post my availability, and you will be able to book a time slot with me. Included in the subscription price.