PEPE bulls have managed to defend the $0.0001711-level. The OBV revealed that selling pressure was not overwhelming, despite the swift losses of the past three weeks. In fact, it has stayed above the highs from May, revealing that a recovery is more likely than more losses.
According to Lookonchain‘s latest update on X (formerly Twitter), a whale who sold their holdings during the market drop has been accumulating the memecoin once again. This reflected faith in the bulls’ ability to recover.
On the 3-day chart, PEPE’s price action had a bearish tinge. The structure favored the sellers because of the trading session close at $0.00001705 on 17 December, below the former higher low at $0.00001729 set on 26 November.
To the north, the $0.00001974-$0.00002259 zone represented a fair value gap that could be filled. Hence, a bounce to $0.00002-$0.0000225 can be expected in the coming days.
The PEPE memecoin rally in April saw a retracement to the 78.6% level 3 months after forming a new high in late May. If it takes a similar course this time, it could fall to the $0.00001067-level in the coming weeks before it recovers.
However, the similarities need not play out exactly. Market conditions are completely different right now. From March to October, Bitcoin [BTC] was on a steady downtrend, consolidating within a descending channel.
In recent weeks, it has tested the $100k-level multiple times, hit a new high at $108k, before retracing alongside the stock market in the third week of December. Therefore, the coming weeks are more likely to be more bullish for PEPE. We might not see a deeper retracement to the 78.6% level at $0.00001067.
We can expect a move towards $0.0000144 and a few weeks of lower highs and consolidation, before the meme bursts higher, targeting $0.000042 and beyond.$PEPE
While Bitcoin, BTC, remains bound within the $90,000-$100,000 price bracket, some crypto analysts fo
While Bitcoin, BTC, remains bound within the $90,000-$100,000 price bracket, some crypto analysts forecast that a correction could take place soon because a 'head and shoulders' formation is seen on the daily chart.
Head and Shoulders: Can Bitcoin Drop to $80,000?
Aksel Kibar, a seasoned analyst and trader, came forward on X to project some thoughts on the latest price action of BTC. On his post, this chartered market technician pointed out that he may see a head and shoulders formation on the daily BTC chart that could drop as low as $80,000.
bitcoin kibar
He explained that the pullback could see BTC's price head toward the broadening pattern that completed with a breakout above $73,600. Kibar, however, was keen to note that for a significant pullback in the BTC price, the head and shoulders pattern needs to paint up fully. He said:
It is not sufficient to just witness it. It needs to materialize with a breach below the neckline. There exist many cases of failed head and shoulders tops especially in steady uptrends well above the year-long average.
Other crypto analysts have also shared related bearish outlooks for Bitcoin's price. For instance, technical analyst Ali Martinez identified $92,730 as the critical price for the top cryptocurrency. According to Martinez, losing the level could plunge the BTC into "free fall territory, based on UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD).
URPD stands for Unspent Output, price, and date-a metric that reflects Bitcoin's Unspent Transaction Outputs into a distribution across the wide range of price levels when they were last timestamped and moved. Simply explained, it helps pinpoint areas where large-scale BTC accumulation or spending has occurred in various price ranges as an indicator of investor behavior and sentiment.
Elsewhere, former Wall Street derivatives trader Tone Vays also warned that BTC trading below the $95,000 price level would be "very, very bad" for the flagship digital asset. Similarly, veteran trader Peter Brandt recently warned of the possibility of BTC breaking down from a 'broadening triangle' formation, falling all the way to the $70,000 level.
bitcoin brandt
While some analysts are predicting a possible price correction, others are still optimistic of the long-term outlook of Bitcoin. Thomas Lee, an analyst at Fundstrat Capital, estimated that BTC could surge as high as $250,000 by 2025. He allowed, though, that a short-term correction to $60,000 might be possible early next year before Bitcoin embarks on a historic bull run.
The Long-Term Bullish Case For BTC
Though some analysts do believe that BTC is staring at a looming price correction, the long-term price predictions remain very positive. For instance, Crypto asset manager Sygnum believes that BTC might witness 'demand shocks' on the back of strong institutional interest in the digital asset that could push its price much higher.
Earlier this month, Ali Martinez pointed out that a 'cup and handle' pattern might be forming on the chart of BTC. This may trigger additional upside momentum in the asset if it were to be actualized. At the time of writing, BTC changes hands at $94,149, down 2.5% in the last 24 hours.
$BTC
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