Wenwifhat PriceWHY

Trader Eugene: Stick to pure technical analysis and choose to stay put Trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio posted on his personal channel, "One of the reasons why I now stick to pure technical analysis instead of using fundamental reasons to support my positions is that everything is constantly changing. Today Bitcoin is linked to gold, and tomorrow it becomes a leveraged S&P index." "Of course you can judge in advance which trend will follow in the future, but I think this game is too difficult to play. I can't invest a lot of money just based on the existing bullish views. If I am forced to make a choice with a gun pointed at my head now, I will not buy gold or short the S&P index, so I choose to stay put and keep my net position hedged. As always, we let price trends guide the direction."

The crypto world is buzzing again, and there's one big question on everyone’s mind: Will 2025 bring the explosive “altcoin season” we’ve all been waiting for—or has Bitcoin stolen the spotlight for good? Let’s break it down in simple terms. Wait—What Is an Altcoin Season? Altcoin season is like a party… but for every coin other than Bitcoin. During this time, coins like Ethereum, Solana, or even joke coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu often rise in price faster and higher than Bitcoin itself. Here’s how it usually works:- Bitcoin goes up first. Then money flows into smaller coins (altcoins). Those altcoins skyrocket, sometimes by 10x, 50x—even 100x. In 2021, after Bitcoin hit $69,000, some altcoins saw insane growth. SHIB and DOGE surged by thousands of percent, and Solana multiplied over 100 times in value. Fast forward to 2025: Bitcoin has broken $100,000, and big institutions are investing through Bitcoin ETFs. Some people now believe altcoins are “done.” But is that really the case? Let’s explore both sides. Why Altcoin Season Might Still Happen 1. History Is on Their Side Every time Bitcoin’s market dominance (its share of the total crypto market) drops below 40%, altcoins tend to take off. Right now, it's at 56%. If Bitcoin cools down, that money could flow into altcoins fast—just like in 2021. 2. Trending Narratives = Big Gains Altcoins often grow when they ride hot trends. Here are three trends heating up in 2025: AI Coins: Projects like Fetch.ai and SingularityNET are booming thanks to the rise of AI-powered crypto tools. Real-World Assets (RWAs): These are tokens that represent real things—like stocks, houses, or bonds. They're helping connect crypto to the real world. Memecoins: Yes, they’re still a thing. Love them or hate them, coins like $VIRTUAL exploded in 2024—rising 249x—thanks to hype and social media buzz. 3. Better Rules Could Help New U.S. laws like the FIT21 Act are making the crypto space safer and more legitimate. This could make big investors more willing to explore altcoins—not just Bitcoin. 4. Timing Looks Good Altcoin rallies often follow Bitcoin’s “halving” (a major event that happens every four years). This usually happens between January and May—and guess what? We're right in that window. Why Altcoins Could Still Struggle? -Bitcoin Is the Main Character Now Big money is flowing into Bitcoin ETFs—over $50 billion so far. Investors see Bitcoin as the “safe bet,” which leaves fewer dollars for smaller coins. As one expert put it: “Altcoins need real adoption, not just hype.” -Most Altcoins Still Don’t Do Much Out of over 20,000 cryptocurrencies, only a tiny percent actually solve real problems. Many don’t have users, revenue, or working products—and that’s a problem. -Global Money Issues = Less Risk-Taking Interest rates are still high. That means investors can earn safe returns elsewhere—like 5% on government bonds. When safe money looks good, risky altcoins look less attractive. So, What’s the 2025 Forecast? Experts think we might see a “mini” altcoin season—not as wild as 2021, but still exciting: AI and DeFi tokens may lead the way. Memecoins will rise and fall with internet trends (and Elon’s tweets). Bitcoin dominance might stay high, which could limit how far altcoins go. Advice for investors If you’re just getting into crypto or planning your next move, here’s what to keep in mind: -Look for real value: Focus on coins that have users, revenue, or ties to trending tech like AI. -Invest steadily: Use a strategy like dollar-cost averaging—investing small amounts over time to handle the ups and downs. -Don’t chase hype: Most of those “100x coins” from 2021 are gone. Be smart, not greedy. And always "Do your own research" Final Thoughts Altcoin season isn’t dead—it just might look different in 2025. If history, innovation, and timing align, we could still see some fireworks. Just remember: In crypto, knowledge is your greatest investment. Note please : all information here are only for educational purposes , not a financial advice

Coinbase has obtained internal documents from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission concerning the agency’s investigation into Ethereum 2.0, following a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit. Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s Chief Legal Officer, announced on X that the SEC disclosed a list of withheld documents. These documents include a May 2022 internal analysis of ETH 2.0 under the Howey test, a February 2023 email questioning Ethereum’s ( ETH ) classification as a security, and an April 2023 memorandum prepared for commissioners before authorizing the ETH 2.0 investigation . Also listed is the case closing narrative for the investigation. The SEC initially denied Coinbase’s FOIA requests, citing Exemption 7(A), which pertains to ongoing enforcement proceedings. However, after the closure of the Ethereum 2.0 investigation without charges, the SEC acknowledged that the exemption “may” no longer apply. Despite this, the agency proposed a three-year timeline to review over 132,000 documents for other potential exemptions. Grewal criticized the SEC’s inconsistent treatment of crypto assets, questioning why Ethereum passed the agency’s internal “ecosystem” test while others did not. He emphasized the need for transparency to prevent repeating regulatory missteps. This legal action is part of Coinbase’s broader effort to challenge what it perceives as regulatory overreach and lack of clarity in the crypto industry. The exchange has also filed lawsuits against the SEC and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation over denied Freedom of Information Act requests related to past investigations and actions within the crypto sector.

Okay, let's distill some of the reasons why the crypto market experienced a significant crash in the past. I'll focus on a hypothetical example of a recent major crash, incorporating the factors I mentioned earlier: Let's say there was a major crypto crash in 2023/2024 (hypothetically, although there have been significant corrections): Here's a breakdown of the likely causes: • Inflated Valuations & Leverage (Bubble Burst): • For a few years, the crypto market saw massive growth, with many new and unproven projects attracting huge investments. • Prices of many cryptocurrencies and NFTs were driven up by speculation and hype, far exceeding any realistic assessment of their underlying value. • High leverage (borrowed funds) was widely used on crypto exchanges, amplifying both gains and losses. When the market began to turn, these leveraged positions were liquidated, triggering a cascade of sell-offs. • Regulatory Crackdown: • Imagine major governments (e.g., the US, China, the EU) started taking a stricter stance on crypto, introducing tighter regulations on exchanges, stablecoins, or even banning certain activities. • Perhaps a major crypto exchange was accused of illegal activities and faced legal action. • This regulatory uncertainty created fear and panic, causing investors to sell off their holdings to avoid potential future restrictions or losses. • Major Security Breach: • A prominent decentralized finance (DeFi) platform or a major crypto exchange was hacked, resulting in the loss of billions of dollars in cryptocurrency. • This event undermined trust in the security of crypto platforms, leading to a widespread sell-off as investors feared further breaches. • Macroeconomic Headwinds: • Globally, inflation was rising rapidly, and central banks (like the Federal Reserve) were aggressively raising interest rates to combat it. • Higher interest rates made riskier assets like crypto less attractive, as investors could get better returns from safer investments like government bonds. • Concerns about a potential recession also contributed to risk aversion. • Stablecoin Collapse: * Imagine a large, widely used algorithmic stablecoin lost its peg to the US dollar, causing widespread panic and a flight to safety. This would remind people of the Terra/Luna collapse and fuel fears about the stability of other stablecoins. • This triggered a massive sell-off of cryptocurrencies as investors sought to convert their holdings into more stable assets. • Whale Activity & Cascade Effect: • Large holders of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies ("whales") began selling off significant portions of their holdings, possibly due to the factors listed above. • This triggered a domino effect, as the initial price drop caused other investors to panic and sell, further driving down prices. Automated trading algorithms also contributed to the rapid decline. The Result: The combination of these factors created a "perfect storm" that led to a significant and rapid decline in the value of the crypto market. Many investors lost a substantial portion of their investments, and the market experienced a period of extreme volatility and uncertainty. Important Note: This is a hypothetical scenario, but it illustrates how a combination of factors can contribute to a crypto market crash. Market dynamics are complex and change over time. It's crucial to do your own research and understand the risks involved before investing in cryptocurrencies.

**The Wise Farmer’s Lesson** In a small village, there lived an old farmer named Li. He was known for his wisdom and patience, though some of the younger villagers thought his ways were outdated. One day, a young man named Jun approached him, frustrated. "I planted seeds weeks ago, but nothing has grown! Farming is too slow. There must be a faster way!" Li smiled and handed Jun a cup of tea. Then, he reached into his pocket and pulled out two seeds—one small and one large. "Plant the small seed today," Li said. "But for the large one, you must first soak it, then dry it, then soak it again for seven days before planting." Jun groaned. "That’s too much work! Why can’t I just plant them both now?" Li chuckled. "Because some things cannot be rushed. The small seed will sprout quickly, but the large one will grow into a mighty tree that lasts generations. If you skip the steps, it will never grow strong." Jun hesitated but followed Li’s advice. Weeks later, the small plant had sprouted, but it was weak and soon wilted. The large seed, though slow to grow, became a strong sapling. Years passed, and Jun—now a patient and skilled farmer—stood under the shade of a great tree, the very one he had planted. He finally understood: **True growth takes time, care, and respect for the process.** And so, the village learned that wisdom, like a tree, grows best when nurtured with patience. **Moral:** Rushing may bring quick results, but lasting success comes from patience and proper effort.