Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesBotsEarnCopy
QCP: BTC and ETH bearish bias continues to rise, elections may see a resurgence of “good news is all gone”

QCP: BTC and ETH bearish bias continues to rise, elections may see a resurgence of “good news is all gone”

CointimeCointime2024/11/02 10:44
By:Cointime

QCP released a weekend summary stating that Thursday's core PCE data was slightly higher than expected (actual YoY growth of 2.7%, expected 2.6%). In contrast, Friday's non-farm payroll data (NFP) was unexpectedly lower than expected (actual 12,000, expected 110,000), causing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to rebound and return to the 104 level.

Bitcoin hit a historical high on Tuesday night, trading as high as 73.6k, driven by expectations for the election week. Despite Bitcoin's outstanding performance this week, Ethereum has been relatively flat and has failed to break through the 2.7k mark. Against the backdrop of strong ETF fund inflows, Bitcoin's net inflows this week exceeded $2.1 billion.

Despite Bitcoin falling below $69,000 on Friday, we still see strong interest in the market, with total open positions for BTC futures and BTC options remaining at high levels of $40.65 billion and $25.3 billion, respectively. In the upcoming election week, the short-term implied volatility of BTC and ETH is still higher than the 72 volatility, and as traders increase their downside protection, the skewness of put options is constantly rising.

Although Trump is considered a popular candidate for the next US president, his chances of winning on Polymarket have fallen from a high of 66% to 57%, with Harris' support at 43%. Regardless of the outcome, we believe that the election will see a "good news" market, similar to what happened after the Nashville Bitcoin Conference.

0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Locked for new tokens.
APR up to 10%. Always on, always get airdrop.
Lock now!

You may also like

Genius Group Ordered to Sell Bitcoin Holdings

Genius Group must sell 10 BTC due to a court order, slashing its crypto treasury and market cap significantly.Unexpected Setback for Genius GroupMarket Cap Falls Below Bitcoin ReservesConcerns About Stability and Transparency

Coinomedia2025/04/04 14:11
Genius Group Ordered to Sell Bitcoin Holdings

Ethereum Price Sees 4 Straight Red Months

Ethereum has closed four red months in a row, but long-term holders remain hopeful for a rebound.Ethereum’s Tough Streak ContinuesHope on the Horizon for Ethereum Holders

Coinomedia2025/04/04 14:11
Ethereum Price Sees 4 Straight Red Months

Nexchain Emerges as April’s Best ICO: A New Era for Blockchain

Nexchain is committed to facilitating interoperability from one blockchain to the next through artificial intelligence, allowing for cross-chain communication and operational efficienciesConclusion

Coinomedia2025/04/04 14:11
Nexchain Emerges as April’s Best ICO: A New Era for Blockchain

Bitcoin Volatility Expected as U.S. Jobs Report Looms

U.S. jobs data and Powell’s speech today could trigger major Bitcoin volatility. Here’s what to watch.What to Expect from Today’s Market MovesWhy Bitcoin Traders Are Watching Closely

Coinomedia2025/04/04 14:11
Bitcoin Volatility Expected as U.S. Jobs Report Looms