Massive Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analyst Forecasts 30%+ BTC Upside Potential
Are you wondering what the future holds for Bitcoin (BTC)? Get ready for some potentially exciting news! A recent Bitcoin price prediction from a respected analyst suggests significant upside could still be on the horizon for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. Let’s dive into the details of this bullish outlook.
The core of this optimistic forecast comes from CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr., who shared his insights on X. His focus? The behavior of Bitcoin short-term holders (STHs). These are generally defined as addresses holding BTC for less than 155 days. Why are they important? STHs often represent newer market entrants, retail investors, and also professional speculators who might be trading through platforms like ETF brokers. They are typically more reactive to price movements compared to long-term holders (LTHs), who tend to accumulate and hold through volatility.
Axel Adler Jr. noted a crucial observation: there hasn’t been a large-scale selloff from this specific cohort recently. In past bull markets, STHs have historically waited until their profits reached a significant level before taking substantial action. This current lack of widespread selling is interpreted as a strong bullish signal.
The analyst’s argument heavily relies on a key on-chain metric called Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL). NUPL is calculated by taking the difference between Unrealized Profit and Unrealized Loss, divided by the market capitalization. Essentially, it shows the overall state of profit or loss for the entire Bitcoin network as a percentage of the market cap.
For STHs specifically, the analyst points to a historical pattern: this group tends to initiate significant selling pressure only after their collective NUPL exceeds the 40% threshold. This indicates that, on average, short-term holders are sitting on substantial unrealized gains (over 40% of their cost basis) before they feel compelled to cash out in large numbers.
Think of it like this:
The analyst highlights that the current STH NUPL is sitting at a mere 8%. This is significantly below the historical 40% level that triggered major STH selloffs in previous cycles. This wide gap is the basis for the exciting BTC upside potential prediction.
Based on the current STH NUPL of 8% compared to the historical selling threshold of 40%, the CryptoQuant analysis suggests that Bitcoin still has considerable room to grow before this particular group becomes a major source of selling pressure. The analyst explicitly states that he anticipates BTC to have at least 30% more upside potential from current levels before STHs significantly impact the market dynamics.
Let’s look at the comparison:
This doesn’t mean the price will go up in a straight line, or that other factors won’t cause dips. However, it suggests that the typical profit-taking behavior from short-term holders, which can cap rallies, is unlikely to kick in aggressively until much higher price levels are reached.
A positive BTC price forecast based on on-chain data like STH NUPL can be a powerful indicator, but it’s essential to consider it within the broader market context. While the analysis points to minimal selling pressure from a key cohort, other factors can influence price, such as:
The analyst’s view provides a specific lens through which to view the market – the behavior of short-term holders – and that lens is currently flashing a bullish signal. For investors and traders, this analysis might reinforce a bullish bias or encourage a focus on holding strategies rather than anticipating an immediate, large correction driven by recent buyers cashing out.
It’s always crucial to do your own research and not solely rely on one metric or analyst’s opinion. However, the insights derived from on-chain data, like the STH NUPL highlighted in this CryptoQuant analysis, offer valuable perspectives that traditional market analysis might miss.
While the outlook is positive from this specific angle, it’s important to remember that on-chain metrics are just one piece of the puzzle. A sudden negative catalyst, such as unexpected regulation or a major hack, could override even the most bullish on-chain signals. Additionally, the definition of STH (under 155 days) is a statistical average, and individual behavior can vary widely.
Furthermore, while STHs might not be selling en masse yet, long-term holders could potentially start distributing at higher prices, or new selling pressure could emerge from other sources not captured by this specific metric.
In summary, the analysis from CryptoQuant’s Axel Adler Jr. presents a compelling argument for significant BTC upside potential based on the current behavior of short-term holders. The low STH NUPL, sitting far below historical profit-taking thresholds, suggests that a major wave of selling from this group is unlikely in the immediate future. While other market factors are always in play, this specific on-chain signal provides a strong fundamental underpinning for a bullish outlook, anticipating at least another 30% move before this key dynamic shifts.
To learn more about the latest Bitcoin market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action.
Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, Bitcoinworld.co.in holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

Why I'm Watching Virtuals Protocol ($VIRTUAL)
Lately, $VIRTUAL has caught my attention. Even with a small dip in price, the token is still showing strong momentum after a huge run over the last month. That kind of move usually points to more than just hype.
Virtuals Protocol is building something different. It runs on Base, Ethereum’s Layer 2, and lets users create and co-own AI agents without needing technical skills. That opens the door for more people to actually build and earn in Web3, not just speculate.
One thing that really stood out to me is their “proof of contribution” model. Instead of rewarding only token holders, it gives value to people who actually participate and add to the ecosystem.
There’s still a lot to prove, and like any early-stage project, it comes with risk. But if they stay on track, I think this could become a big part of the AI and Web3 space.
What’s your take on $VIRTUAL? Is this a project you’re watching or have already explored?
#VirtualsProtocol #VIRTUAL #Web3 #AI #CryptoInsights #BaseChain #DePIN #BlockchainBuilders

future trading part 2 and end
In 2021, Exchangers realized the benefits of Futures, so this year they advocated Futures Trading to be done. This year, everyone who was promoting the Exchange knew that the exchanges were worried about Futures Trading.
I. Why Exchanges Prefer Futures Trading Over Spot Trading
In the crypto trading system and the way Exchangers work, every time you deposit money into an exchanger and buy a coin. The exchange will buy that coin, it will add it to its Liquidity pool. If you withdraw, you do it, and if you hold it, it is theirs to keep.
And if you trade, they will take that amount of coin and sell it to someone who needs it at the time of a "Limit Order" or directly "Market Order", so even though the exchange holds the coin you bought in Spot, they do not have any full control over it.
But the Futures Trading system is not like that, the exchanger only sets the price of a coin to be traded without any Smart Contract or Liquidity Pool. All the money you deposit goes directly to the exchanger, and unlike before, they did not have control over the coin.
Now they have this power, so they do some very real manipulation, especially now that Future Trading has replaced Spot Trading, especially in exchanges.