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Ethereum reclaimed the top spot in decentralized exchange trading volume in March for the first time since September 2024. Ethereum-based DEXs handled $64 billion in spot trading volume, compared to Solana’s $52 billion and BSC’s $44 billion, as per DefiLlama data . Overall market activity has slowed despite this milestone. DEX trading volume has fallen from $86 billion in January to $85 billion in March, while the total value locked declined from $67 billion to $49 billion over the same period. The network’s fee generation has also fallen sharply. In January, Ethereum ( ETH ) earned $142 million in transaction fees, but that figure plummeted to just $21 million in March. The network’s burn rate, which tracks the amount of ETH removed from circulation, hit its lowest level since August 2021. According to data from Ultrasound Money, just 53 ETH was burned per day last week, and Ethereum’s total supply has grown 3% since the EIP -1559 upgrade, raising concerns about the asset’s long-term value accrual. Ethereum’s price has struggled as a result, ending Q1 2025 down 45%, as per Coinglass data . This has contributed to $170 billion in market value being wiped out in what was the network’s third-worst quarter since 2016. Given the current network dynamics, institutional investors have been cautious. SoSoValue data shows Ethereum exchange traded funds lost $403 million in March, with just one day of inflows. In addition, analysts from Standard Chartered have slashed their year-end ETH price target from $10,000 to $4,000, citing strong competition from Ethereum’s layer-2 solutions, which have drawn users away by offering lower fees. Still, Ethereum’s long-term potential shouldn’t be overlooked. It remains the leader in promising sectors such as the tokenization of real-world assets, which is projected to become a $16 trillion industry by 2030. Ethereum controls 54% of the tokenization market, as per RWA.xyz data , with $5 billion in assets tokenized on the network. As traditional finance continues to move on-chain, the network may see a renewal of interest. Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, has emphasized the potential of tokenization, predicting that all assets will eventually be represented on-chain. Ethereum’s supply may once more become deflationary and drive value over time if it can continue to play a part in this shift. Ethereum could also benefit from staking-enabled Ethereum ETFs. Both the New York Stock Exchange and Chicago Board Options Exchange have filed for staking in Ethereum ETFs with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Staking in ETFs could increase demand and lock away a significant amount of ETH. This, coupled with institutional adoption, could give Ethereum a much-needed boost.

President Donald Trump has invited El Salvador’s president Nayib Bukele to the White House on Apr. 14 to discuss cooperation on border security, criminal repatriation, and potentially Bitcoin. The invitation follows a public display of admiration between the two leaders, fueled by Bukele’s aggressive crackdown on gang violence and his handling of deported criminals from the U.S. In a Apr. 1 official letter shared by Bukele on X, Trump praised Bukele’s efforts in cracking down on gang violence and assisting with U.S. deportation policies. “Also of great importance to our partnership is your willingness to use El Salvador’s new supermax prison for Tren de Aragua and MS-13 gang members. You have shown real leadership and are a model for others seeking to work with the United States.” — U.S. President Donald Trump Bukele had previously responded positively to one of Trump’s posts thanking him for taking in prisoners, stating, “Grateful for your words, President Trump. Onward together!” Through dramatic videos of prisoners shackled and escorted into El Salvador, Bukele has built a strongman image that resonates with Trump’s base. His approach, jailing nearly 2% of El Salvador’s population and slashing crime rates, has made him one of the world’s most popular leaders, with approval ratings above 85%. Hosting deported criminals in his mega-prison has not only won him favor with Trump but has also secured El Salvador millions in U.S. funds. Beyond crime and immigration, Bitcoin ( BTC ) may also be on the agenda. El Salvador holds over 6,100 BTC, while Trump’s administration recently established a National Bitcoin Reserve using confiscated crypto holdings. With no other world leaders invited, the shared interest could lead to discussions on digital asset regulations, financial cooperation, or even joint blockchain initiatives. Bukele may also seek economic benefits following the recently imposed Trump tariffs . His administration may push for reduced tariffs on Salvadoran exports as part of larger trade negotiations. El Salvador’s economy, which mainly depends on exports of textiles and agricultural products, could benefit from improved trade terms with the United States, which is the country’s biggest trading partner.

The co-founder of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, makes a bold prediction: the price of Bitcoin could surpass $250,000 by the end of 2025. This analysis is based on recent adjustments to monetary policy that could spur strong demand for the leading cryptocurrency. Arthur Hayes’ recent analysis is sure to catch the attention of many crypto market observers. According to him, the BTC price could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025 if the FED decides to pivot towards a quantitative easing (QE) policy. Specifically, Hayes bases this crypto prediction on the idea that the value of Bitcoin is heavily influenced by market expectations regarding the future supply of fiat currency. Analysis: If the FED increases the supply of dollars by adopting QE, demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin could rise due to the perceived devaluation of traditional currency. The latest actions by the FED are already showing signs of such a pivot. On April 1, it reduced the capacity for Treasury bond reductions from $25 billion to only $5 billion per month. According to Hayes, this decision marks the beginning of a bullish cycle for crypto assets. Having reached a local low of $76,500 last month, Bitcoin could indeed start its surge towards $250,000. Not all expert crypto analysts share Arthur Hayes’ optimistic vision . Jamie Coutts from Real Vision estimates, for example, that Bitcoin would hit a peak of $132,000 by the end of 2025. These projections are more conservative. They take into account current market trends, suggesting a less drastic impact of monetary policy on BTC’s price. But that’s not all! According to data from Polymarket , only 9% of traders are betting on a Bitcoin at $250,000. The majority (at 60%) believe that the price of the flagship cryptocurrency will stabilize around $110,000 in 2025. This sentiment reflects hesitation about the extent of the expected rally for BTC. While Hayes’ prediction is ambitious, it highlights the importance of monetary policy in determining the price of Bitcoin. Investors will need to closely monitor the FED’s decisions as well as the evolution of the global economy. These could redefine the trajectories of cryptocurrencies in the long term.