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Bitcoin may stage a recovery above the key $90,000 psychological mark amid easing monetary inflation concerns in the world’s largest economy. Bitcoin’s BTCUSD over two-month downtrend has raised numerous alarms that the current Bitcoin bull cycle may be over, defying the theory of the four-year market cycle. Despite widespread investor concerns, Bitcoin may be on track to a recovery above $90,000 due to easing inflation concerns in the United States, according to Markus Thielen, the CEO of 10x Research. “We can see some counter-trend rally as prices are oversold, and there is a good chance that the Fed is mildly dovish,” Thielen told Cointelegraph, adding: “This is not a major bullish development, rather some fine-tuning from the policymakers. We think $BTC will be in a broader consolidation range but we could trade back towards $90,000.” Investor confidence may also be improved by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments indicating that the Fed will “remain on hold amid rising uncertainty among households and businesses,” wrote 10x Research in a March 17 X post, adding: “Powell also expressed doubts about the sustained inflationary impact of Trump’s tariffs, referencing the 2019 scenario where tariff-related inflation was temporary, and the Fed eventually cut rates three times.” Meanwhile, investors are eagerly awaiting today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, for cues on the Fed’s monetary policy for the rest of 2025, a development that may impact investor appetite for risk assets such as Bitcoin. FOMC meeting will be crucial for Bitcoin’s trajectory: analyst Traders and investors will be watching for any hints about the ending of the Fed’s quantitative easing (QT) program, “a move that could boost liquidity and risk assets,” according to Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at Nexo digital asset investment platform. $BTC

The crypto market has faced a noticeable downtrend since the late 2024 rallies, with most major altcoins undergoing sharp corrections. Nexo ( $NEXO ) hasn’t been spared either—it has declined by over 23% in the last 90 days, following the formation of a bearish pattern on its chart. However, despite the broader weakness, the token has managed to hold a key support level recently and is currently trading at around $1.09, showing some signs of stabilization after posting slight weekly gains. Double Top Pattern Setup $NEXO recently formed a bearish double top pattern near the $1.55–$1.60 zone, followed by a breakdown below the neckline at $1.03. This bearish formation played out with the price dropping lower, eventually testing a key support area between $0.89 and $1.00—marked in gray on the chart. Interestingly, this support zone aligns closely with the 200-day moving average (200 DMA), currently hovering near the $1.00 mark, which further reinforces its importance. As long as NEXO holds this critical gray zone support along with the 200-day MA, there is still a good chance for a rebound. A potential bounce from this zone could signal the beginning of a recovery, especially if the price manages to flip the 25-day moving average—which stands as the next key resistance—into support. The MACD indicator, although still in negative territory, is beginning to flatten out, hinting at a possible slowdown in bearish momentum. If a bullish crossover occurs in the coming days, it could further support the case for a reversal in trend and bring in renewed buying interest. However, if NEXO fails to defend this support zone, the rebound scenario may get invalidated. In that case, the token could face deeper downside pressure, with the next support levels seen around $0.80 and $0.70 respectively. For now, all eyes are on whether NEXO can sustain above this crucial support zone. If it does, a fresh upward move might not be far off. Final Thoughts While technical indicators offer hope for a rebound, the market remains sensitive to broader sentiment and macro developments. Traders and investors should watch closely for a confirmation signal in price action and momentum before taking decisive positions.

The volume of stablecoins is skyrocketing, and this is not a trivial detail for crypto analysts. Such a surge raises intrigue and questions: are we witnessing a mere temporary craze or the signal of a new massive influx of investments? According to IntoTheBlock, the supply of stablecoins has exceeded 219 billion dollars, suggesting that the bull cycle is still far from its peak. Stablecoins are no longer just simple exchange tokens. They have become strategic tools in the service of major economic maneuvers. The rapid increase in their capitalization, particularly on Ethereum and Solana, sends clear signals to investors: the demand is indeed there, and it is not fading. Some notable figures: The United States has understood this well: they are now counting on these digital assets to strengthen the hegemony of the dollar . The support of American elected officials for these digital currencies is not insignificant. As MartyParty states: ” Stablecoins are being issued at a record pace in preparation for the adoption of the GENIUS Act. ” So, should we see this explosion as a springboard towards massive adoption or merely a political maneuver? Despite the rise of stablecoins, the crypto market seems hesitant. The price of bitcoin hovers below key levels, ether struggles to maintain the 1,900 dollars, and traders are awaiting clear signals. The approach of the FOMC meeting adds to the uncertainty. According to Stella Zlatareva (Nexo) : ” The market is adopting a cautious tone, following the trajectory of the S&P 500. Everything will depend on the upcoming economic data. ” This caution does not signal a lack of opportunities. Historically, an increase in the flow of stablecoins to exchanges often precedes a massive influx of purchases. Bridget Harris asserts: ” The demand for yield will propel the supply of stablecoins much higher. Once users are accustomed to constant gains, it is difficult to go back. “ At the same time, the role of stablecoins in traditional finance is becoming clearer. Their adoption by fintechs as a preferred payment method could accelerate their integration into the global economy. But this evolution relies on a fragile balance between innovation and regulation. Should we see it as the beginning of a new bull cycle or merely a temporary illusion? At the beginning of February, the capitalization of stablecoins exceeded a historic record of over 200 billion dollars. A sign that crypto investors are looking to limit their risk? Alphractal experts point out that this caution could be the prelude to a new turning point for the market. The answer will come with time.

The current crypto market correction is merely the middle of the bull cycle, not the top, based on the steadily growing stablecoin supply, which may signal more incoming investment according to analysts. The cumulative stablecoin supply has surpassed $219 billion, suggesting that the current cycle is still far from its top. Historically, stablecoin supply peaks have aligned with crypto cycle tops, according to a March 14 X post by crypto intelligence platform IntoTheBlock, which wrote: “In April 2022, supply hit $187B—just as the bear market started. Now it’s at $219B and still rising, suggesting we’re likely still mid-cycle.” Increasing stablecoin inflows to crypto exchanges can signal incoming buying pressure and growing investor appetite, as stablecoins are the main investor on-ramp from fiat to the crypto world. Still, Ether $ETH USD price is down over 52% over the past three months, after it peaked above $4,100 on Dec. 16, 2024, and analysts are eying another decline below $1,900, a “robust” demand zone that may bring more investment into the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Crypto market will likely lack direction ahead of FOMC meeting: analyst Despite the rising stablecoin supply, the crypto market may continue to lack direction ahead of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Next week’s FOMC meeting may be decisive for crypto markets, which remain influenced by macroeconomic developments, according to Stella Zlatareva, dispatch editor at Nexo digital asset investment platform. Zlatareva told Cointelegraph: “Bitcoin’s movement below key technical levels, mirroring the S&P 500’s trajectory, highlights the market’s cautious tone as traders await key economic data for direction, including U.S. retail sales and the FOMC meeting.” “All eyes are set on next Wednesday's FOMC meeting, anticipating insights into U.S. monetary policy and potential interest rate adjustments, especially given the recent declines in U.S. PPI and initial jobless claims figures, which point towards a slowing economy,” she added. The predictions come days ahead of the next FOMC meeting scheduled for March 19. Markets are currently pricing in a 98% chance that the Fed will keep interest rates steady, according to the latest estimates of the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Despite the potential for short-term volatility, investors remain optimistic for the rest of 2025, VanEck predicted a $6,000 cycle top for Ether’s price and a $180,000 Bitcoin price during 2025. $BTC

The latest U.S. jobs report has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance, potentially benefiting global equities and cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin. Weaker-than-expected employment growth in February has reinforced calls for rate cuts, yet persistent inflationary pressures linked to tariffs and supply-chain disruptions may temper the Fed’s decision-making. Fresh data from the U.S. Labor Department shows that only 151,000 non-farm jobs were added in February, marking the weakest growth for this month since 2019. This underwhelming figure missed economists’ projections of 170,000 new jobs, sparking concerns about a slowing labor market. Analysts caution that factors such as government job cuts, reduced federal spending, and tighter immigration policies could further slow hiring in the coming months, potentially reinforcing disinflationary trends. A Nexo analyst emphasized that worsening labor market conditions might push the Federal Reserve toward interest rate reductions to prevent a deeper slowdown. However, inflation risks arising from geopolitical uncertainty and persistent supply chain bottlenecks could complicate the Fed’s decision-making process. While slowing employment growth strengthens the case for rate cuts, inflationary risks continue to pose challenges for the Fed. Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent, noted that the weaker jobs report supports the notion that monetary easing may be necessary to stimulate economic activity. Additionally, managing the growing national deficit remains a key priority for policymakers, which could have implications for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. Kirill Kretov, Trading Automation Expert at CoinPanel, pointed out that a rising unemployment rate could increase the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts, thereby improving liquidity conditions for bitcoin and decentralized finance (DeFi): “Slightly weaker wage growth suggests easing inflationary pressures, making an earlier Fed pivot more plausible,” Kretov explained. The likelihood of rate cuts is already shaping market expectations. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders assign a 55.3% probability to a rate cut as early as the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This outlook aligns with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model , which has revised its Q1 2025 forecast to a 2.4% annual contraction, raising concerns about a potential recession. QCP Capital analysts noted a bearish sentiment in the derivatives market, as risk reversals have seen increased demand for put options. “Options flows suggest a more bullish outlook could emerge later in the year, but near-term sentiment remains cautious,” they stated. Despite the potential for monetary easing, volatility remains high across financial markets. As reported by BitcoinBázis, bitcoin and ether have both declined by approximately 3% in the past 24 hours and are down around 10% over the past week. Meanwhile, U.S. equity futures are also signaling weakness, with Dow Futures down 0.88%, S&P 500 Futures down 1.11%, and NASDAQ Futures down 1.24% in pre-market trading. With key U.S. inflation data releases on the horizon, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday, analysts expect market fluctuations to persist. As investors assess the Fed’s next move, the interplay between economic slowdown concerns and inflationary risks will likely dictate the trajectory of bitcoin and broader risk assets in the coming months.